PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFEc5477DEE3b1E6174a3F0BE2661602B2006Ae41-1767586496077

0xfec5477dee3b1e6174a3f0be2661602b2006ae41

Realised P&L
$-971.39
Volume
$49.3k
Markets traded
358
Open portfolio
$598.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded358
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9060.912$417.34+$3.02
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8680.957$79.50+$7.38
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6250.551$55.15$7.40
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2640.255$33.15$1.15
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2700.305$9.15+$1.05
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1300.026$2.65$10.35
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1000.045$1.35$1.65
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1700.045$0.45$1.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? · No0.3800.000$0.00$19.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.2850.000$0.00$5.70
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.3500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? · No0.0700.000$0.00$7.74
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.70
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 17:18Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.85$5.10
09-13 17:16Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.79$4.74
09-13 17:14Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.74$3.70
09-13 17:14Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.72$3.60
09-10 07:56Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.27$13.50
09-10 07:43Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.626$31.30
08-31 19:31Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.39$3.90
08-29 17:16Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.41$4.10
08-23 17:57Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.1$3.00
08-23 16:44Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.8$8.00
08-23 14:54Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.96$7.32
08-23 14:52Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.96$9.60
08-23 14:52Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.68$6.80
08-23 14:52Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.63$6.30
08-22 12:05Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.71$7.10