phathu.nev
0xfec2504ef24b15cde8b394f4873407094d9058af
- Realised P&L
- $0.76
- Volume
- $208.41
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $11.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.36at 0.309Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$0.72at 0.278Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
- +$0.65at 0.490Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?
- +$0.51at 0.104Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
- +$0.50at 0.402Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:52 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:06 | Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.79 |
| 09-14 06:56 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:24 | Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:24 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 19:29 | Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 19:26 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-30 19:26 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.79 |
| 08-21 12:34 | Will Zwakele Mncwango be the next mayor of eThekwini? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 12:32 | Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 09:49 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 09:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 09:06 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.075 | $1.47 |
| 08-12 09:40 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 09:37 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |