PolyBot

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Traders

kalonar

0xfeb32c4f79ba859f9e24e108bc254b4900ef8d26

Realised P&L
$-535.02
Volume
$132.9k
Markets traded
1,333
Open portfolio
$19.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,333
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? · Yes0.2150.269$19.52+$3.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$2.34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 30? · Yes0.3540.000$0.00−$5.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.4980.000$0.00−$2.24
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6230.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 30? · Yes0.4180.000$0.00−$65.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$3.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 25? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$5.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down0.8920.000$0.00−$27.31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12? · Yes0.3930.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.7360.000$0.00−$5.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 19:04Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?BUY0.228714107$4.00
10-12 19:03Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?BUY0.210362122$11.62
10-12 10:56Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?BUY0.139400854$5.00
10-12 10:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?BUY0.223$1.31
10-12 10:47Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?BUY0.1495$2.02
10-12 10:45Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?BUY0.247$4.43
10-11 19:02Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?BUY0.3929002917$30.00
10-11 16:41Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?SELL0.999$44.06
10-10 19:06Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?BUY0.5668528317$25.00
10-10 18:17Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?SELL0.995$41.38
10-09 19:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 10?BUY0.0654484325$4.00
10-09 19:04Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?BUY0.488027695$20.30
10-09 15:34Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?SELL0.992$32.82
10-08 19:03Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.4684887372$15.50
10-08 05:44Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?SELL0.24$13.55