kalonar
0xfeb32c4f79ba859f9e24e108bc254b4900ef8d26
- Realised P&L
- $-535.02
- Volume
- $132.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,333
- Open portfolio
- $19.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,333
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.00at 0.194Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$98.57at 0.717Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$95.13at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?
- +$84.66at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$82.55at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.228714107 | $4.00 |
| 10-12 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.210362122 | $11.62 |
| 10-12 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.139400854 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.223 | $1.31 |
| 10-12 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1495 | $2.02 |
| 10-12 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.247 | $4.43 |
| 10-11 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.3929002917 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.06 |
| 10-10 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.5668528317 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.995 | $41.38 |
| 10-09 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0654484325 | $4.00 |
| 10-09 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.488027695 | $20.30 |
| 10-09 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.992 | $32.82 |
| 10-08 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.4684887372 | $15.50 |
| 10-08 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.24 | $13.55 |