madilo
0xfeb29826b3dd8d78a4beb422ce7c9b453defab1b
- Realised P&L
- $-28.72
- Volume
- $528.60
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $5.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.017 | $3.13 | −$19.66 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.042 | $2.02 | −$4.70 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.050 | $0.49 | −$0.49 |
| Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.85 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.87 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-12 17:17 | Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.26 |
| 02-12 17:15 | Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.50 |
| 02-11 20:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 02-11 20:12 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.60 |