PolyBot

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Traders

ToTheMoonAndBack

0xfea6037784c1b5e80abfbe8108c42a780f21a363

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$173.5k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$668.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6690.160$667.43$2.1k
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0320.001$1.55$98.44
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$71.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00$40.70
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$100.00
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$10.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$1.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down0.4840.000$0.00$5.68
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? · Yes0.3380.000$0.00$406.18
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$7.40
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 17:01Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.4192708261$74.01
03-17 12:24Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.0021238064$6.39
03-17 09:16Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0269922996$1.00
03-17 08:28Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0321887726$100.00
03-17 08:26Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0693992198$40.00
03-10 16:20Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
03-10 15:29Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6199999991$200.00
03-09 19:53Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.069$48.30
03-06 14:01Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.091$18.20
03-06 11:38Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1079568556$200.00
03-06 11:36Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.7769999995$200.00
03-05 10:01Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.0260597499$100.00
03-04 21:52Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1739999988$100.00
03-04 16:32Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.7401033992$478.35
03-04 16:23Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1609999988$100.00