ToTheMoonAndBack
0xfea6037784c1b5e80abfbe8108c42a780f21a363
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $173.5k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $668.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.047Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.7kat 0.221Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$665.44at 0.998Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$201.14at 0.404US military action against Iran before July?
- +$200.59at 0.230Israel military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 17:01 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4192708261 | $74.01 |
| 03-17 12:24 | Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0021238064 | $6.39 |
| 03-17 09:16 | Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0269922996 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 08:28 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0321887726 | $100.00 |
| 03-17 08:26 | Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0693992198 | $40.00 |
| 03-10 16:20 | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 03-10 15:29 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $200.00 |
| 03-09 19:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.069 | $48.30 |
| 03-06 14:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.091 | $18.20 |
| 03-06 11:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1079568556 | $200.00 |
| 03-06 11:36 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7769999995 | $200.00 |
| 03-05 10:01 | Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0260597499 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 21:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1739999988 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 16:32 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7401033992 | $478.35 |
| 03-04 16:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1609999988 | $100.00 |