Middletondgb
0xfea205a76535370d177efc73c903e3f7cc0a7882
- Realised P&L
- $-71.34
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $16.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.230 | 0.225 | $16.20 | −$0.36 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.33 |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B · Liquid | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.84 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.17 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · LGD Gaming | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.84 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · MOUZ | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.16 |
| Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage · MASONIC | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.95at 0.500Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$132.84at 0.500Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$131.97at 0.500Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?
- +$117.03at 0.500Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$59.02at 0.767Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 06:10 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $134.86 |
| 10-20 06:09 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.23 | $16.56 |
| 10-20 06:08 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $80.00 |
| 10-20 06:07 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $55.00 |
| 09-08 11:24 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.72 | $23.33 |
| 08-24 08:22 | Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 08-21 01:40 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.6 | $14.40 |
| 08-05 03:40 | LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.26 | $8.84 |
| 07-15 12:02 | ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace | BUY | 0.497 | $27.83 |
| 07-07 03:14 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.62 | $20.83 |
| 06-18 08:49 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.36 | $22.17 |
| 05-22 11:01 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.74 | $23.16 |
| 05-13 11:39 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $74.92 |
| 05-13 11:38 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B | BUY | 0.36 | $15.84 |
| 05-13 11:37 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $75.00 |