burtonnatalie
0xfe9d07b1166b2104b76f17cacdb3142ad5577fe9
- Realised P&L
- $-24.55
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $15.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 10? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.941 | $15.55 | +$1.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.750Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$5.05at 0.999Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
- +$0.29at 0.979Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?
- +$0.25at 0.995Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
- +$0.20at 0.996Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:52 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999711 | $8.74 |
| 01-30 15:38 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.44 |
| 01-30 14:45 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $25.47 |
| 01-30 12:08 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.63 |
| 12-30 18:07 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.72 |
| 12-30 16:28 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979998638 | $3.62 |
| 12-30 15:22 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.47 |
| 12-30 09:59 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999673 | $15.48 |
| 12-29 22:35 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.03 |
| 12-29 21:04 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999603 | $20.18 |
| 10-30 23:55 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.65 |
| 10-30 23:09 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.96 |
| 10-30 18:46 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.9979999613 | $16.31 |
| 09-29 15:19 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.13 |
| 09-29 10:04 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.98 |