0xfe92d0a9e0cd64361e6b0a83d03660219870c27d
0xfe92d0a9e0cd64361e6b0a83d03660219870c27d
- Realised P&L
- $-16.67
- Volume
- $522.72
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $10.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11? · Yes | 0.949 | 0.985 | $5.09 | +$0.19 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10? · No | 0.974 | 1.000 | $5.03 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.78at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$0.76at 0.501Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$0.51at 0.623Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$0.34at 0.682Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$0.19at 0.963Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 16:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9489999671 | $4.90 |
| 10-09 06:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.90 |
| 10-09 06:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-09 06:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.9739999654 | $4.90 |
| 10-02 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $1.13 |
| 10-02 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $1.09 |
| 10-02 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 10-02 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $0.97 |
| 10-02 13:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $0.80 |