tjuntkmkm
0xfe928c334109a760fb0127fea7095d822aac4f77
- Realised P&L
- $-9.48
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $9.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 9? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.360 | $9.00 | +$4.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yes | 0.986 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.07 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.38at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$4.70at 0.530Senators vs. Islanders
- +$4.13at 0.630Flames vs. Red Wings
- +$3.27at 0.617Timberwolves vs. Pistons
- +$2.74at 0.650Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:10 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 08:43 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.9719999099 | $5.09 |
| 09-02 08:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.984999999 | $5.08 |
| 08-21 07:03 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | BUY | 0.9719999963 | $5.27 |
| 08-07 04:20 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.9399998576 | $5.28 |
| 07-20 03:40 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | BUY | 0.8699999505 | $5.10 |
| 07-16 05:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.03 |
| 07-12 09:11 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999963 | $5.14 |
| 07-04 07:25 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.42 |
| 06-27 07:02 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.9779999962 | $5.14 |
| 06-19 06:35 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.05 |
| 06-10 08:11 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 07:50 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999865 | $5.22 |
| 05-25 06:03 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY | 0.9859999984 | $5.07 |
| 05-21 06:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0468127404 | $5.00 |