Niuniujiaoyi2244
0xfe8eba47b5ba3b75baf319b987dc8d558744cfaa
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $225.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,093
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,093
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.53at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28?
- +$197.88at 0.047Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?
- +$124.27at 0.282Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 27?
- +$123.30at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?
- +$105.09at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3633333333 | $5.45 |
| 09-22 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3497435897 | $13.64 |
| 09-22 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.115 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.23 |
| 09-22 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.57 | $17.72 |
| 09-22 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1130843707 | $1.64 |
| 09-22 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1266666667 | $1.90 |
| 09-22 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.23 |
| 09-22 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 09-22 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1283381803 | $3.09 |
| 09-21 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.78 | $70.98 |
| 09-21 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.89 | $11.57 |
| 09-21 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0255531929 | $3.85 |
| 09-21 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.51 | $6.63 |