Niuniujiaoyi2244
0xfe8eba47b5ba3b75baf319b987dc8d558744cfaa
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $143.5k
- Markets traded
- 723
- Open portfolio
- $41.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded723
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.075 | $13.58 | +$1.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.090 | $9.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.180 | $7.64 | +$3.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.035 | $3.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.030 | $3.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.005 | $1.65 | +$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.012 | $1.19 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.006 | $0.33 | +$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on August 6? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.30at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?
- +$105.62at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?
- +$70.46at 0.488Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?
- +$67.97at 0.802Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?
- +$67.86at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.95 | $12.07 |
| 08-04 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.47 |
| 08-04 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0575510204 | $2.82 |
| 08-04 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.27 |
| 08-04 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.78 | $9.91 |
| 08-04 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.78 | $19.82 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.36 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.33 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 08-04 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.624 | $7.80 |
| 08-04 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.98 |
| 08-04 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9492 | $94.92 |
| 08-04 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.88 | $33.87 |
| 08-04 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |