PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFE81197aA3ea11802aFF2dD03e91f553ade1a4a7-1769783520611

0xfe81197aa3ea11802aff2dd03e91f553ade1a4a7

Realised P&L
$16.91
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$3.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0130.035$3.25+$2.09
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$11.80
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$9.90
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$4.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.1910.000$0.00$1.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.1730.000$0.00$17.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? · No0.0130.000$0.00$1.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$3.00
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.01
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00$9.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$2.50
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 22:44Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.013$1.30
09-06 04:58Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.012$0.48
07-19 21:44Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0825$1.65
07-19 21:30Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.3275$3.28
07-19 21:24Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3175$3.17
07-19 21:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3$3.00
07-19 20:45Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.155$6.20
07-19 20:22Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4025$4.03
07-19 18:46Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.26$10.40
07-18 21:18Will France vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.19$3.80
07-18 21:16Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
07-18 21:00France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.3$3.00
07-15 21:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$58.66
07-15 21:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$5.81
07-15 21:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$5.82