elainex
0xfe727740079436713fe3cec59ad2bb2b64c5f3d3
- Realised P&L
- $-76.42
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $53.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.265 | $53.00 | −$49.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 11? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 9-15? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.33at 0.657Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$3.90at 0.580Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$2.36at 0.980Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$1.48at 0.540Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$1.05at 0.951Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 02:17 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 9-15? | BUY | 0.1799999789 | $5.81 |
| 02-10 02:14 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.56 |
| 02-09 08:31 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 08:30 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 01-24 08:15 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.535 | $108.26 |
| 01-24 08:15 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.5369999995 | $108.67 |
| 01-24 08:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $2.76 |
| 01-24 08:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $1.94 |
| 11-17 09:02 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9506532731 | $106.93 |
| 11-17 09:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $47.11 |
| 11-17 08:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $6.72 |
| 11-17 08:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.658025916 | $30.00 |
| 11-14 07:29 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $86.90 |
| 11-14 03:19 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.82 | $90.20 |
| 11-14 03:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |