0xfe6ccf79acf711a4a9912bd9f9962e7df0a8f3ca
0xfe6ccf79acf711a4a9912bd9f9962e7df0a8f3ca
- Realised P&L
- $803.55
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.051 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Costa Rica vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.065 | $0.27 | −$0.73 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.015 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$454.01at 0.105Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$347.51at 0.041Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$89.03at 0.053Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$19.29at 0.419Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$15.60at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:39 | Will Costa Rica vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:39 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.38 | $12.21 |
| 09-24 13:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2899999913 | $9.32 |
| 09-24 12:31 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999989 | $2.15 |
| 09-19 11:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.0929999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.69 |
| 09-16 18:51 | Bitcoin above 75,200 on September 16, 3PM ET? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 18:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:49 | ZCash Up or Down - September 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0099502488 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 09:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.0158504673 | $1.59 |