0xfe6c951aed8ca9ef1e9491a9b011880cf64ab0a4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.34
- Volume
- $476.00
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $71.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.34at 0.809Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$0.90at 0.600Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$0.63at 0.410Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$0.08at 0.893Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
- +$0.01at 0.853Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 18:56 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.90 |
| 07-05 00:56 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 06-26 16:02 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $14.94 |
| 06-22 13:17 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 06-20 12:21 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.72 |
| 06-17 07:36 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 06-15 06:26 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.30 |
| 06-13 03:06 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $15.66 |
| 06-08 10:22 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.878 | $6.15 |
| 06-06 06:15 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.43 |
| 06-01 19:33 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.911 | $6.38 |
| 06-01 19:32 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 05-27 08:41 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 05-24 21:16 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.11 |
| 04-24 14:19 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.893 | $6.25 |