Aljioter
0xfe605cd49ecf72cf75544f7ce5d319ae3ae170ce
- Realised P&L
- $-7.02
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $0.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules? · Yes | 0.698 | 0.455 | $0.85 | −$0.46 |
| Will Natalie Nakase win WNBA Coach of the Year? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.43at 0.820Will Newcastle beat Manchester City?
- +$1.30at 0.698Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?
- +$0.67at 0.600Chargers vs. Seahawks
- +$0.44at 0.820Will Motoristé get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?
- +$0.11at 0.890Will Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 05:51 | Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 05:51 | Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.34 |
| 11-02 05:51 | Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 05:49 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $148.59 |
| 11-02 05:49 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $49.29 |
| 10-30 09:07 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.997 | $148.00 |
| 10-30 09:07 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.996 | $147.41 |
| 10-30 09:07 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.997 | $148.00 |
| 10-30 09:06 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 13:55 | Will 0 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 13:55 | Will 0 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.76 |
| 07-28 13:55 | Will 0 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 13:54 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 05:09 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $399.60 |
| 07-16 05:21 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $400.00 |