blue123
0xfe5ef675922b51c170d66c5f0f93dc2ccb01eed8
- Realised P&L
- $-285.29
- Volume
- $58.8k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $43.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.990 | 0.992 | $20.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $14.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.980 | 0.991 | $6.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.960 | $2.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.16at 0.963Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on June 9?
- +$1.16at 0.959Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.07at 0.560Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.80at 0.750Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$0.77at 0.870Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:22 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999971 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 08:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.00 |
| 10-06 08:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 03:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.9959999645 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 02:54 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 02:54 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $2.50 |
| 08-02 02:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.9939999994 | $7.00 |
| 07-05 02:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9919999433 | $7.00 |
| 07-05 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.00 |
| 07-05 02:37 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.00 |
| 06-25 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |