0xFE5dEB4BAEBf247469599446a4d485AB71c65941-1773446299588
0xfe5deb4baebf247469599446a4d485ab71c65941
- Realised P&L
- $-510.05
- Volume
- $123.5k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $50.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.527Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$1.4kat 0.540Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$819.29at 0.844Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5
- +$496.98at 0.517Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
- +$467.21at 0.777Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-01 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-31 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-31 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or below on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-30 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 07-29 19:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.50 |
| 07-29 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $122.65 |
| 07-29 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.267 | $2.67 |