Willa441969
0xfe5814ffcce01a3f829a828d394e2bd48a041fb2
- Realised P&L
- $0.77
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $17.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.999 | $17.98 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.976Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.22at 0.989Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 23?
- +$0.16at 0.986Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 18?
- +$0.09at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 05:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $17.91 |
| 07-02 09:36 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.56 |
| 06-23 09:37 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.68 |
| 05-19 09:04 | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.48 |
| 05-13 07:50 | Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.50 |
| 04-24 10:01 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.90 |
| 04-23 06:40 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 04-22 07:00 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 06:34 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.01 |
| 04-20 03:47 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.16 |