eiwgny
0xfe5655e8c48bdfb695f07bdf0233e686b7c39be6
- Realised P&L
- $-11.7k
- Volume
- $256.0k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.541 | $677.17 | +$382.92 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No | 0.043 | 0.037 | $513.37 | −$74.59 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $43.90 | −$737.23 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $5.35 | −$38.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.601Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$13.25at 0.430Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
- +$3.51at 0.740Texans vs. Patriots
- +$2.91at 0.861Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$2.35at 0.810Browns vs. Eagles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 00:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.0434022371 | $40.00 |
| 08-30 00:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.401 | $4.81 |
| 08-30 00:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.401999993 | $15.00 |
| 08-30 00:54 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 00:54 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 00:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.035757455 | $25.13 |
| 08-24 03:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.0359999961 | $8.74 |
| 08-24 03:02 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.0664543227 | $9.49 |
| 07-26 16:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.0789999658 | $1.97 |
| 07-25 22:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2299999994 | $282.07 |
| 07-25 04:49 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 04:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.075 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 00:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.063778369 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 18:57 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 15:25 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.007420338 | $10.00 |