0xfe4f549bc71048eb0fb133ee84f6f2907e72ab9b
- Realised P&L
- $53.90
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $8.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.101 | $8.33 | −$11.67 |
| Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.13at 0.320Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
- +$31.02at 0.390Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
- +$26.09at 0.230Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$4.62at 0.520Solana Up or Down on January 21?
- +$0.72at 0.410Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 03:58 | Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0572654321 | $20.00 |
| 02-24 03:58 | Will Binance be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0389124452 | $20.00 |
| 01-20 17:40 | Solana Up or Down on January 21? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 01-19 20:23 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 20? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 12-31 00:14 | Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | BUY | 0.2414025212 | $20.00 |
| 12-27 14:44 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 22:27 | Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | SELL | 0.53 | $46.08 |
| 10-31 22:27 | Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $10.62 |
| 10-08 22:04 | Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 13:09 | Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $19.83 |
| 07-15 20:20 | Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999834 | $9.90 |