KingElessar
0xfe4cbd7fe60302c272c4fdd56c4b19207f44eda2
- Realised P&L
- $-326.66
- Volume
- $99.4k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $108.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.715 | $108.33 | +$8.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$563.97at 0.126Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$171.10at 0.094Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$70.18at 0.743Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$63.38at 0.831Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament
- +$62.85at 0.371Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 13:46 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.24 | $120.00 |
| 08-09 13:36 | Spread: AS Monaco (-2.5) | BUY | 0.03 | $26.66 |
| 08-09 13:34 | Spread: AS Monaco (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0275277912 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 18:39 | Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-2.5) | BUY | 0.035 | $35.00 |
| 08-04 18:38 | Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5) | BUY | 0.025 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 16:32 | National Bank Open: Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 16:21 | National Bank Open: Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby | BUY | 0.3 | $11.53 |
| 08-04 12:27 | Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 08-01 11:24 | Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagal | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 09:51 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 08-01 08:00 | ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vittoria Paganetti vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen | SELL | 0.3515 | $35.15 |
| 08-01 06:44 | Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.6695 | $66.95 |
| 07-31 19:59 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | SELL | 0.07 | $28.50 |
| 07-31 15:39 | FC Argeș Pitești vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 07-31 15:24 | Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |