PolyBot

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Traders

kekw

0xfe4a2942a8385548201d8665233daec4d6a5bc74

Realised P&L
$52.6k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$19.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3670.595$12.4k+$4.8k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5270.920$6.9k+$3.0k
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$137.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 18:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.2096058333$2.5k
09-01 04:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.43$5.2k
05-06 08:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.25$10.7k
04-29 09:57US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?BUY0.997$4.0k
04-29 09:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$10.0k
04-20 13:33Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?BUY0.96$9.21
04-20 13:27Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.9198299908$500.00
04-20 13:24Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?BUY0.9097256221$962.52
04-20 13:24Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.861425934$1000.00
04-20 13:24Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.8151109932$1000.00
04-20 13:24Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on April 22?BUY0.9989999973$269.97
04-20 13:24Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on April 22?BUY0.9989999957$189.98
04-19 17:11Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?SELL0.75$30.00
04-19 14:41Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?SELL0.85$17.00
04-19 13:34Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?BUY0.5967738404$500.00