kekw
0xfe4a2942a8385548201d8665233daec4d6a5bc74
- Realised P&L
- $52.6k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $19.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.367 | 0.595 | $12.4k | +$4.8k |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.527 | 0.920 | $6.9k | +$3.0k |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.4kat 0.456LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
- +$10.0kat 0.558LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$9.7kat 0.679US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$9.3kat 0.446Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$8.1kat 0.650LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2096058333 | $2.5k |
| 09-01 04:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.2k |
| 05-06 08:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $10.7k |
| 04-29 09:57 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.0k |
| 04-29 09:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.0k |
| 04-20 13:33 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.21 |
| 04-20 13:27 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.9198299908 | $500.00 |
| 04-20 13:24 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.9097256221 | $962.52 |
| 04-20 13:24 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.861425934 | $1000.00 |
| 04-20 13:24 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.8151109932 | $1000.00 |
| 04-20 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on April 22? | BUY | 0.9989999973 | $269.97 |
| 04-20 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on April 22? | BUY | 0.9989999957 | $189.98 |
| 04-19 17:11 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 04-19 14:41 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 04-19 13:34 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.5967738404 | $500.00 |