Yzb
0xfe3d4957e700a1d2f9cb27a2be830c61516bd454
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $106.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $189.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.019 | $189.99 | −$1.8k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$675.90 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.490Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$1.8kat 0.591Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$377.51at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$72.97at 0.659Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$59.11at 0.783Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 14:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0201375933 | $99.98 |
| 03-27 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7776680495 | $210.73 |
| 03-27 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6504201776 | $137.33 |
| 03-27 14:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $140.97 |
| 03-27 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1493255196 | $76.86 |
| 03-27 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1148155901 | $595.33 |
| 03-27 13:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4356205147 | $290.35 |
| 03-05 14:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1961749186 | $2.0k |
| 03-05 14:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1489679132 | $3.5k |
| 03-05 14:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $3.5k |
| 10-16 19:02 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0329670327 | $100.00 |
| 01-26 17:03 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.7728528148 | $4.1k |
| 01-26 17:03 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.774601672 | $3.9k |
| 12-07 10:46 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.4941095714 | $4.9k |