0xfe3b79CD12b3e00c5Fb512123e46507926b64Ce9-1768768489169
0xfe3b79cd12b3e00c5fb512123e46507926b64ce9
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $439.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.115Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
- +$911.66at 0.044Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
- +$-18.21at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 22:23 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.3895013228 | $100.00 |
| 06-03 15:34 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.2854330693 | $100.00 |
| 06-03 15:30 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7598021776 | $100.00 |
| 02-24 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1881187839 | $4.94 |
| 02-23 23:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $9.71 |
| 02-17 14:06 | Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.3805240003 | $200.00 |
| 02-09 20:00 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1914712954 | $200.00 |
| 02-08 07:00 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 02-08 07:00 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0086956597 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 20:03 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0190114068 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 20:03 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0287563336 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 20:03 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0149473713 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 20:03 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.015596883 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 20:02 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.021739811 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 20:02 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0098730523 | $10.00 |