0xfe3ab434c9016c0ca5fb8766f9572e7fe1ea64ec
- Realised P&L
- $-80.40
- Volume
- $644.42
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $22.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.155 | $16.08 | −$80.41 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.905 | 0.087 | $6.57 | −$61.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.20at 0.565Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$4.35at 0.920Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$2.45at 0.803Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$1.70at 0.830MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$1.60at 0.984Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 11:40 | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 01-28 05:13 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.918 | $18.36 |
| 01-15 09:25 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.948 | $23.70 |
| 01-05 09:07 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 12-01 07:01 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.8029999922 | $10.00 |
| 12-01 06:59 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 11-25 07:28 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 11-25 07:26 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |