MorpheusWang1989
0xfe31e3c4e1a498a73da8975e04c5891dd6938ae7
- Realised P&L
- $-31.67
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $24.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.360 | $7.20 | +$2.80 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.670 | 0.705 | $7.05 | +$0.35 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.105 | $5.43 | −$2.29 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.066 | $1.32 | −$0.54 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $1.10 | −$0.10 |
| Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.025 | $1.02 | −$3.58 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.050 | $1.00 | −$0.30 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.022 | $0.45 | −$0.41 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.055 | $0.11 | −$0.04 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.10at 0.120Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$-27.49at 0.411Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:00 | Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-30 15:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.30 |
| 10-30 15:56 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.093 | $1.86 |
| 10-30 15:16 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.203 | $3.86 |
| 10-30 15:16 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.415 | $7.88 |
| 10-30 15:00 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.202 | $3.84 |
| 10-30 14:47 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.202 | $4.04 |
| 10-30 14:47 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.221 | $5.97 |
| 10-30 14:45 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.203 | $1.42 |
| 10-30 14:31 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.203 | $4.06 |
| 10-30 14:31 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.416 | $16.22 |
| 10-30 14:30 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.202 | $3.84 |
| 10-30 14:17 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.203 | $4.06 |
| 10-30 14:16 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.416 | $16.22 |
| 10-30 14:15 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.209 | $3.97 |