PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PONYHell

0xfe2c57a54415efc0924d6c911ef3e6c115696edf

Realised P&L
$-17.92
Volume
$333.69
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$8.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 03:52Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0859999998$1.00
09-12 12:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$1.00
09-03 08:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$5.00
08-29 08:38Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?BUY0.14999994$2.00
08-29 08:38Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-12 12:25Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.0282926559$1.00
08-09 07:19Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$3.20
08-09 07:18Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999719$4.00
07-30 15:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4599999264$3.00
07-30 11:59Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.952$10.12
07-28 14:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0359999933$5.00
07-27 14:24Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
07-26 09:50Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.23$1.92
07-19 04:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
07-18 14:00Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.4799999568$4.00