PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LucilleGardner734

0xfe26c16876dac6b860200d0ed0fd4eaef025063e

Realised P&L
$-29.27
Volume
$34.1k
Markets traded
428
Open portfolio
$78.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded428
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9991.000$29.81+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 23? · No0.9990.998$20.38$0.02
Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No0.9990.999$18.16$0.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 22? · No0.9971.000$10.21+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4? · No0.9970.000$0.00$6.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 22:33Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 22?BUY0.9969999999$10.18
09-22 18:05Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?BUY0.999$18.17
09-22 16:18Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 23?BUY0.999$20.40
09-22 00:20Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on September 22?BUY0.999$6.00
09-19 02:23Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 19?BUY0.998$17.00
09-18 01:28Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$18.70
09-17 15:13Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.999$29.80
09-13 02:54Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 13?BUY0.9989999774$25.40
09-11 15:18Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?SELL0.999$6.29
09-11 15:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11?SELL0.999$31.70
09-11 03:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11?BUY0.999$31.70
09-10 20:39Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?BUY0.999$6.30
09-07 14:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.998$7.88
09-06 14:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 7?BUY0.9989999795$19.58
09-06 08:03Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?BUY0.997$25.00