0xfe2695e4e72b936e7d404ff5bf837f4d40dcff8d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.69
- Volume
- $92.57
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $6.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.300 | 1.000 | $5.10 | +$3.57 |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.375 | $1.55 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.93at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$1.33at 0.540Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$1.28at 0.550Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.95at 0.620Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.95at 0.620Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:51 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? | BUY | 0.3699999226 | $1.53 |
| 09-13 07:12 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7599999603 | $1.53 |
| 09-11 15:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7799997859 | $1.53 |
| 09-10 01:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $1.53 |
| 09-09 16:49 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $1.53 |
| 09-09 08:47 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.53 |
| 09-08 12:35 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.2099999794 | $1.53 |
| 09-07 09:33 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.53 |
| 09-04 01:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.5399999012 | $1.53 |
| 09-03 03:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.53 |
| 09-02 18:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 2? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.53 |
| 09-01 07:42 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998998 | $1.53 |
| 08-31 11:41 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999012 | $1.53 |
| 08-31 02:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31? | BUY | 0.2199999022 | $1.53 |
| 08-30 18:31 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998998 | $1.53 |