karhswap
0xfe23342a381a41fff988994fbb12683be986e72b
- Realised P&L
- $112.09
- Volume
- $196.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,427
- Open portfolio
- $8.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,427
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.390 | 0.385 | $3.85 | −$0.05 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-12? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.254 | $2.54 | +$0.44 |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.220 | 0.205 | $2.05 | −$0.15 |
| CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Toronto FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Toronto FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.35 |
| Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.96at 0.251S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?
- +$188.87at 0.159Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 4?
- +$187.26at 0.201Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on April 4?
- +$169.80at 0.046Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 4?
- +$167.28at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 17:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.77 | $11.55 |
| 04-07 16:57 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on April 7? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 04-07 16:54 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.57 |
| 04-07 16:44 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on April 7? | BUY | 0.47 | $3.76 |
| 04-07 16:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.54 |
| 04-07 16:23 | Meta (META) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.21 | $0.98 |
| 04-07 16:02 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.61 | $2.95 |
| 04-07 15:55 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.71 |
| 04-07 15:55 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.81 | $9.57 |
| 04-07 15:55 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.71 |
| 04-07 15:55 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.71 |
| 04-07 15:55 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.71 |
| 04-07 15:46 | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.71 |
| 04-07 15:46 | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.89 |
| 04-07 15:43 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 7? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.18 |