PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cryptoxiao

0xfe202bb8f5c8d7f0450b40e040b19dbe6a34c8fa

Realised P&L
$10.9k
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$151.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.235$151.91−$35.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) · FURIA0.7120.000$0.00−$1.0k
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$500.00
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2? · Yes0.6490.000$0.00−$4.1k
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$99.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner · Gen.G0.6000.000$0.00−$1000.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$100.00
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$100.00
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage · Aurora Gaming0.6500.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$100.00
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D · 9z0.6190.000$0.00−$500.00
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan · China0.2900.000$0.00−$890.75
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · Heroic0.4500.000$0.00−$326.70
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$47.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 16:28Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.42$1.0k
08-21 17:39Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.3399999998$1.1k
08-16 15:38Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DBUY0.6190095846$500.00
08-15 18:36Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ABUY0.5694350282$100.79
08-15 18:35Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ABUY0.58$116.00
08-15 18:35Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ABUY0.5899999991$200.00
08-15 18:33Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ABUY0.604249957$500.00
07-19 19:01Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.585$500.00
07-19 18:59Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsSELL0.25$96.15
07-19 18:59Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsBUY0.2899999981$100.00
07-19 18:52Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY0.2599999985$100.00
07-19 18:52Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.3499999986$100.00
07-15 19:01England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5374999996$500.00
07-14 20:20France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.8675$980.22
07-14 19:10France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4424999998$500.00