0xfe1cbd3dace760d9415dd66d1e26f0309e17d3ef
0xfe1cbd3dace760d9415dd66d1e26f0309e17d3ef
- Realised P&L
- $7.01
- Volume
- $165.34
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $24.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? · Yes | 0.905 | 0.916 | $21.02 | +$0.25 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 28? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.090 | $3.02 | −$1.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.62at 0.316Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?
- +$2.94at 0.776Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?
- +$0.36at 0.986Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 25?
- +$0.09at 0.560Will Solana reach $110 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 28? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.69 |
| 09-25 16:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $25.48 |
| 09-20 12:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 10:38 | Will Solana reach $110 in September? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 10:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.76 | $9.99 |
| 09-08 14:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |