wediii
0xfe126e2ac13bc6f3dd500d430abfff1e925421f2
- Realised P&L
- $-34.66
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $4.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $3.80 | −$49.35 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.003 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$1.88 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.60at 0.677Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15?
- +$41.71at 0.634Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$16.97at 0.350Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
- +$13.20at 0.330Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
- +$9.94at 0.041Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 23:57 | Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0069999998 | $43.67 |
| 06-10 23:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.07 | $47.55 |
| 06-05 21:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.30 |
| 06-05 21:55 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.021 | $3.50 |
| 05-31 17:31 | Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0069999993 | $9.48 |
| 05-31 17:28 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 17:27 | Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 17:27 | Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 17:27 | Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 05-24 00:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0599999985 | $37.46 |
| 05-24 00:07 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $38.97 |
| 05-23 09:20 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? | BUY | 0.3499999944 | $22.00 |
| 05-23 09:18 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.3765829343 | $22.02 |
| 05-23 09:15 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.3419754992 | $20.00 |
| 05-23 09:14 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0892679744 | $19.70 |