goatmanballs
0xfe0e255fcefb63c4289804facfc6ada070670b40
- Realised P&L
- $66.12
- Volume
- $41.6k
- Markets traded
- 323
- Open portfolio
- $222.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded323
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.992 | 1.000 | $201.51 | +$1.51 |
| Florida State vs. Alabama · Alabama | 0.710 | 0.775 | $16.37 | +$1.37 |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss · LSU | 0.580 | 0.570 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.971 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.88 |
| Seahawks vs. Titans · Seahawks | 0.712 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Packers vs. Vikings · Packers | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$462.62at 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$141.20at 0.266Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$134.88at 0.602Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan
- +$105.26at 0.827Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5
- +$83.38at 0.477United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 23:31 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 21:56 | Florida State vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 21:53 | North Carolina vs. Clemson | BUY | 0.996 | $150.00 |
| 09-19 21:46 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.992 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 14:08 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9799999993 | $250.00 |
| 09-18 21:24 | Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 20:42 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.98 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 20:26 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 16:43 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Brentford FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8265999134 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 01:19 | Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.997 | $421.00 |
| 09-17 19:10 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 20:00 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9922912205 | $350.00 |
| 09-16 18:37 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.994 | $400.00 |
| 09-15 19:15 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.9798775153 | $400.00 |
| 09-15 02:45 | Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.9928451161 | $300.00 |