0xfe0abb2Ad838C8b82DE01C262492E468997f89dd-1774186655319
0xfe0abb2ad838c8b82de01c262492e468997f89dd
- Realised P&L
- $-520.07
- Volume
- $70.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $375.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.537 | $205.67 | +$101.39 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.230 | $143.32 | −$31.16 |
| Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September? · No | 0.600 | 0.535 | $26.75 | −$3.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.00at 0.360Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$44.65at 0.216Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.15at 0.887GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$23.66at 0.957Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.96at 0.968Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 14:38 | Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 09-04 16:22 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9683761716 | $243.84 |
| 09-04 16:22 | Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9622921109 | $338.49 |
| 09-04 15:54 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $174.48 |
| 07-28 15:52 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $220.00 |
| 07-21 19:20 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $208.11 |
| 07-19 21:21 | Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8193148618 | $119.46 |
| 07-19 18:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.415 | $41.50 |
| 07-18 22:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.92 | $349.60 |
| 07-18 22:35 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.429 | $104.25 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.9723772071 | $605.79 |
| 07-17 07:22 | Will Kick 1 by Argentina in the penalty shootout of the World Cup Final be made or missed? | BUY | 0.56 | $151.20 |
| 07-14 20:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.192 | $1.4k |
| 07-14 20:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.189 | $245.99 |
| 07-14 19:38 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2210529636 | $376.01 |