PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfdfc43f942908cae8c87f8966b4256e5a6518675

0xfdfc43f942908cae8c87f8966b4256e5a6518675

Realised P&L
$4.04
Volume
$48.41
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$7.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 11? · Yes0.3000.955$6.37+$4.37
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.255$0.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 03:18Rain during the Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.32$1.18
10-10 08:20Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-08 18:43Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 11?BUY0.299999985$2.00
10-08 18:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 10?BUY0.299999985$2.00
10-07 20:30Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 8?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
10-07 18:30Rain during the Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-07 11:12Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 7?BUY0.5679999936$5.00
10-07 03:20Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-06 20:20Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Spain?BUY0.5$1.00