mandarin.xyz
0xfdf49bf309903fbcd8c8206dabc72ab729329880
- Realised P&L
- $-44.16
- Volume
- $42.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $8.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.001 | $8.17 | −$725.27 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.99 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.82at 0.504Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$16.08at 0.013Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$6.85at 0.598Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$-1.00at 0.003Will the US strike Colombia next?
- +$-4.81at 0.060Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:30 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.013 | $7.72 |
| 09-25 12:30 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0120758811 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 12:30 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0100583568 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 12:30 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 12:30 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.23 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.12 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.33 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.33 |
| 09-22 06:39 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.008928546 | $3.14 |
| 09-22 06:38 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.23 |
| 09-22 06:37 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0077292724 | $5.71 |
| 09-09 10:49 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.017 | $38.25 |