GvLBV
0xfdf17710c572a46e992978d380cd27b1538c7195
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $206.1k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.385 | $6.2k | −$3.3k |
| Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? · Yes | 0.842 | 0.999 | $1.1k | +$169.06 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? · Yes | 0.545 | 0.430 | $869.28 | −$231.77 |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? · Yes | 0.664 | 0.994 | $149.03 | +$49.42 |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.250 | $13.33 | +$5.33 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.585Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$2.6kat 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$1.7kat 0.421Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?
- +$916.44at 0.632Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
- +$484.79at 0.688Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8499727975 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8495505283 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $119.28 |
| 10-02 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $20.20 |
| 10-02 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 08:03 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.24810925 | $99.24 |
| 10-01 21:17 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | SELL | 0.23352 | $4.67 |
| 10-01 20:16 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-01 20:15 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-01 07:28 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $264.95 |
| 10-01 07:28 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-01 07:26 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.6314324324 | $233.63 |