Alive76
0xfde7a6554534d24784f169b449293439517b6140
- Realised P&L
- $-27.96
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $22.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.966 | $8.69 | +$0.59 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms? · Yes | 0.902 | 0.760 | $7.62 | −$1.43 |
| Will "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.450 | $3.15 | +$0.56 |
| Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No | 0.480 | 0.625 | $3.13 | +$0.72 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down | 0.805 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.59 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.98 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Down | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.580Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?
- +$1.05at 0.849Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$0.95at 0.894Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?
- +$0.76at 0.887Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$0.63at 0.897Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:12 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.10 |
| 10-08 13:15 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-06 20:35 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-06 19:04 | Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.01 |
| 10-06 08:29 | Will "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.59 |
| 10-05 21:29 | Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms? | BUY | 0.904592309 | $4.55 |
| 10-05 20:48 | Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-29 07:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-29 07:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999984 | $5.88 |
| 09-29 06:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 09-29 06:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $5.82 |
| 09-29 05:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 09-29 05:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9299998664 | $5.64 |
| 09-29 05:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999984 | $5.88 |
| 09-29 04:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |