The-Dove
0xfde3a53d58320a3db74dbe1092979c401e35719a
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $511.7k
- Markets traded
- 596
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded596
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.855 | 0.895 | $3.0k | +$134.06 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.846 | 0.935 | $1.3k | +$121.86 |
| Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? · Yes | 0.835 | 0.870 | $1.2k | +$47.23 |
| Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.763 | 0.875 | $1.2k | +$147.66 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.875 | $906.03 | +$67.63 |
| Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.604 | 0.915 | $317.43 | +$107.94 |
| Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.875 | $61.25 | +$2.45 |
| Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.546 | 0.775 | $49.67 | +$14.66 |
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.785 | $47.18 | +$6.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.28at 0.914Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
- +$362.74at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?
- +$342.32at 0.760Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
- +$337.73at 0.980Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?
- +$299.17at 0.913Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 02:36 | Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.97 | $12.21 |
| 09-07 02:34 | Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.97 | $22.04 |
| 09-07 02:34 | Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.98 | $907.98 |
| 09-07 02:34 | Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-07 02:34 | Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 09-07 02:33 | Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.65 |
| 09-03 01:43 | Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.7994299588 | $530.11 |
| 08-16 01:07 | Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.7632173571 | $1.0k |
| 08-15 05:12 | Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.84 | $58.80 |
| 08-15 05:10 | Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6766888519 | $40.67 |
| 08-15 05:07 | Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? | BUY | 0.84 | $638.40 |
| 08-15 04:51 | Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.6038642915 | $209.49 |
| 08-15 04:50 | Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.5999999891 | $11.00 |
| 08-15 04:50 | Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.60 |
| 08-15 04:50 | Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.52 | $22.41 |