PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mathis.BTC

0xfddc1aef57b3533b6ca48e94f5adcc5a33cc8624

Realised P&L
$-4.28
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$376.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8800.890$376.23+$4.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 19:06Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8799999989$372.00
07-07 18:31Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.94$405.62
07-02 19:34Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.6924999996$151.56
06-01 13:27MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.286$31.87
05-22 12:03MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.9$225.00
05-18 16:42MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.5899999991$213.24
02-24 01:58Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?BUY0.9264354412$150.00
02-24 01:54Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?BUY0.9159999957$100.00
02-24 01:49Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?BUY0.9679999999$100.00
02-24 01:48Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?BUY0.129999993$16.00
02-07 06:17Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?BUY0.9017046768$500.00
02-07 06:17Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?BUY0.7$50.00
01-14 21:40Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7983696328$344.51
01-09 13:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
01-09 10:05Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?SELL0.9441385724$203.04