cgvdsge
0xfdd1efb8a7ce73cc8d7fdc7e021fbf75114db4f4
- Realised P&L
- $3.55
- Volume
- $266.69
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $9.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · No | 0.975 | 0.973 | $4.99 | −$0.01 |
| Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? · No | 0.640 | 0.550 | $4.30 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.18at 0.528Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.87at 0.920LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
- +$0.54at 0.995EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?
- +$0.46at 0.996Bitcoin above $69,000 on June 7?
- +$0.14at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 07:02 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 02:27 | Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 04:24 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.9939999171 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 02:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 05:50 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5279999117 | $2.44 |
| 06-20 07:52 | EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $108.00 |
| 06-07 03:47 | LayerZero airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.04 |
| 06-07 03:40 | Bitcoin above $69,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $114.00 |