PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cgvdsge

0xfdd1efb8a7ce73cc8d7fdc7e021fbf75114db4f4

Realised P&L
$3.55
Volume
$266.69
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$9.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · No0.9750.973$4.99$0.01
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? · No0.6400.550$4.30$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 07:02U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?BUY0.975$5.00
08-28 02:27Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?BUY0.64$5.00
07-18 04:24World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?BUY0.9939999171$10.00
06-03 02:21Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
09-03 05:50Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.5279999117$2.44
06-20 07:52EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?BUY0.995$108.00
06-07 03:47LayerZero airdrop by June 30?BUY0.9199999963$10.04
06-07 03:40Bitcoin above $69,000 on June 7?BUY0.996$114.00