0xfdc93Ce4478c9bd334B1B0a2Bbe6537cc9673E64-1765547791669
0xfdc93ce4478c9bd334b1b0a2bbe6537cc9673e64
- Realised P&L
- $8.68
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $28.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $28.64 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.71at 0.970Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$0.42at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 4?
- +$0.34at 0.984Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$0.23at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 22?
- +$0.21at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989999881 | $28.63 |
| 10-07 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.60 |
| 10-06 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.998999986 | $28.57 |
| 10-04 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.52 |
| 10-03 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9989999831 | $28.49 |
| 10-02 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9989999821 | $28.46 |
| 10-01 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9989999813 | $28.44 |
| 09-30 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999799 | $28.40 |
| 09-29 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.9989999788 | $28.37 |
| 09-28 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.34 |
| 09-27 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.998999977 | $28.32 |
| 09-25 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998999976 | $28.29 |
| 09-24 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9987783873 | $28.26 |
| 09-23 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9989999738 | $28.23 |
| 09-22 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9989999727 | $28.20 |