PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFdC6E1B4853a451a5a5816D11B49942Ec010B20d-1761441482335

0xfdc6e1b4853a451a5a5816d11b49942ec010b20d

Realised P&L
$-168.46
Volume
$223.9k
Markets traded
3,229
Open portfolio
$48.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,229
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1550.040$27.18−$79.56
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: O/U 49.5 · Over0.5300.951$9.51+$4.21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1780.089$4.47−$4.42
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.2000.027$2.70−$17.30
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.026$2.65−$9.35
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) · Hurricanes0.4200.140$1.40−$2.80
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.001$0.25−$3.25
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.001$0.10−$2.90
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 · Over0.5060.000$0.00−$126.50
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox0.3070.000$0.00−$46.00
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 · Over0.4700.000$0.00−$56.40
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees0.4550.000$0.00−$110.05
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 · Over0.5300.000$0.00−$26.50
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00−$8.40
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$36.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 19:30Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)BUY0.42$4.20
10-17 19:29Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: O/U 49.5BUY0.53$5.30
10-16 00:08Seahawks vs. BroncosBUY0.44$8.80
10-12 00:23Spread: Falcons (-6.5)BUY0.41$3.28
10-12 00:17Spread: Falcons (-3.5)BUY0.48$4.80
10-11 16:58Spread: Bengals (-6.5)BUY0.54$5.40
10-11 16:53Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)SELL0.12$1.20
10-11 14:58Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)BUY0.53$5.30
10-10 19:54Spread: Texas (-7.5)BUY0.55$2.75
10-10 17:57Indiana vs. NebraskaBUY0.5$5.00
10-10 17:51Miami (OH) vs. UMassBUY0.66$6.60
10-10 17:02Flyers vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5BUY0.5$5.00
10-09 23:57Ducks vs. JetsBUY0.48$2.40
10-05 23:01Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5BUY0.5$5.00
10-01 23:44Spread: Steelers (-2.5)BUY0.469999906$1.00