PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Aresmoldova

0xfdbfba3ed0ae44365b044497da3f5c8cbfd8a185

Realised P&L
$3.03
Volume
$811.34
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$204.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3100.345$166.94+$16.94
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.1710.175$20.42+$0.42
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2400.230$10.54$0.46
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · No0.1960.060$7.05$15.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 12:38Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2399999965$11.00
09-14 09:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?SELL0.66$11.00
09-14 06:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?BUY0.599999988$10.00
09-13 17:08Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?BUY0.7099999517$10.00
09-12 08:50Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.1714285709$20.00
09-12 08:45Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3099999998$150.00
09-10 20:53Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1956530985$23.00