Aresmoldova
0xfdbfba3ed0ae44365b044497da3f5c8cbfd8a185
- Realised P&L
- $-293.26
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $32.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.44at 0.416Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
- +$8.29at 0.552FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés O/U 0.5
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$3.88at 0.724Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?
- +$3.82at 0.572FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:51 | Cuiabá EC vs. São Bernardo FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6699999982 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Cuiabá EC vs. São Bernardo FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6699999982 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 21:39 | Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 22:35 | Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 20:38 | FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 20:15 | FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 07:29 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.654 | $31.44 |
| 10-30 04:27 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 21:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 15:06 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.92 |
| 10-29 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.415999992 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 18:24 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 05:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.217 | $29.66 |
| 10-27 23:27 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 22:38 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |