PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jmn

0xfdba2ef4cd70e3258d2f43c38cbc5f04991e36c4

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$370.7k
Markets traded
356
Open portfolio
$21.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded356
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.9040.980$11.1k+$858.45
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8410.971$4.2k+$558.32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · No0.9040.983$2.0k+$159.75
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No0.8670.983$2.0k+$231.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7820.980$784.00+$158.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.962$677.44+$69.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.980$490.00+$60.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · No0.9300.985$393.80+$21.80
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.988$195.69+$15.36
Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.986$39.42+$1.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.6040.000$0.00−$18.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$10.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.5030.000$0.00−$50.33
France vs. England: O/U 6.5 · Under0.9500.000$0.00−$2.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00−$27.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 08:24England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5BUY0.987$4.93
07-11 23:22Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.88$22.00
07-11 21:31Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5BUY0.98$980.00
07-10 08:27Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5BUY0.992$319.13
07-10 07:56Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.99$152.30
07-09 07:36Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.91$268.14
07-04 21:30Will France win on 2026-07-04?SELL0.79$79.00
07-04 20:14Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.83$83.00
07-04 09:20Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.9$60.43
07-03 16:27Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.74$14.80
07-02 06:18Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of June 29 2026?BUY0.9598695652$220.77
07-02 06:17Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 Week of June 29 2026?BUY0.9908888889$178.36
07-02 06:17Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $53 Week of June 29 2026?BUY0.99$47.01
07-02 06:16Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of June 29 2026?BUY0.99$103.95
07-01 17:31Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of June 29 2026?SELL0.92$92.00