PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFDB944C91DD7B92AE3fd6cE37c04dBADC75984Dc-1771680554783

0xfdb944c91dd7b92ae3fd6ce37c04dbadc75984dc

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$63.0k
Markets traded
1,375
Open portfolio
$489.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,375
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.8900.905$101.69+$1.69
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.9660.931$96.33−$3.67
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? · No0.9100.970$53.27+$3.27
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? · No0.9600.983$51.20+$1.20
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? · No0.9720.987$50.75+$0.75
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · No0.9300.935$30.16+$0.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? · Yes0.6470.645$29.90−$0.10
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? · No0.8800.865$19.66−$0.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · Yes0.8500.810$19.06−$0.94
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4330.410$18.96−$1.04
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3490.315$18.02−$1.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down0.3440.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Down0.6880.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Up0.2320.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 03:54Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?BUY0.8499999915$20.00
10-09 15:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.6799999932$20.00
10-09 14:59Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.9664201476$100.00
10-09 14:59Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.439719009$10.00
10-09 14:58Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3399999966$10.00
10-09 14:57Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?BUY0.9299999861$30.00
10-09 14:57Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?BUY0.8799999894$20.00
10-07 14:50Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
10-07 14:50Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.4279999997$5.00
10-07 14:50Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.4249999958$5.00
10-07 14:50Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-07 14:49Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.8899999965$100.00
10-07 14:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
10-07 14:39Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?BUY0.9299999976$50.00
10-01 16:33Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?BUY0.9719028095$50.00