MamankKontol
0xfdb8d2d4a871f96ed662874b8c50178d34f4f1cd
- Realised P&L
- $-25.76
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $70.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 15?
- +$23.12at 0.164Magic vs. Celtics
- +$12.15at 0.458Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 18?
- +$9.73at 0.235Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$9.72at 0.391Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.0672268908 | $4.00 |
| 09-23 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.4139037252 | $9.00 |
| 09-23 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.92 | $17.00 |
| 09-22 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3787609064 | $7.00 |
| 09-22 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3299999852 | $6.00 |
| 09-22 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-21 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.5499999915 | $13.00 |
| 09-21 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4000910607 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.0868167191 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.43 |
| 09-18 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4454210648 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.0844673854 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2893534929 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |