0xFDb5b52106DD409715A466d7481d07A2A5c814bF-1782830016396
0xfdb5b52106dd409715a466d7481d07a2a5c814bf
- Realised P&L
- $-71.77
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $50.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.235 | $15.98 | −$1.70 |
| Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.135 | $12.69 | −$4.23 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.085 | $10.96 | −$5.80 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.145 | $8.73 | +$0.30 |
| Will Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.081 | $2.09 | −$1.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.27at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?
- +$1.53at 0.572Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?
- +$1.45at 0.769Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?
- +$1.41at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 9?
- +$1.13at 0.818Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:57 | Will Resident Evil Requiem win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.44 |
| 09-13 15:00 | SlingshotDAO FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.12 |
| 09-12 17:41 | Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.12 |
| 09-11 12:27 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.45 |
| 09-09 18:08 | Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.228 | $0.13 |
| 09-08 15:02 | 3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.60 |
| 09-08 14:53 | Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.876 | $1.75 |
| 09-08 14:47 | Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.9 | $25.82 |
| 07-14 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.632967033 | $9.00 |
| 07-11 11:07 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 11? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.00 |
| 07-10 14:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $6.50 |
| 07-09 23:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.7599998541 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 23:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.7346662241 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 18:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |