0xFDb5b52106DD409715A466d7481d07A2A5c814bF-1782830016396
0xfdb5b52106dd409715a466d7481d07a2a5c814bf
- Realised P&L
- $-177.20
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $89.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.27at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?
- +$1.53at 0.572Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?
- +$1.45at 0.769Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?
- +$1.41at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 9?
- +$1.13at 0.818Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 11:01 | Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.33 |
| 10-25 21:56 | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-22 08:06 | GMGN FDV above $700M one day after launch | SELL | 0.23 | $0.00 |
| 10-21 16:30 | Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.90 |
| 10-21 16:27 | Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 20:23 | Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.07 |
| 10-15 20:14 | Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 10-15 20:10 | Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.63 |
| 10-15 20:03 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.28 |
| 10-14 08:14 | Will Carter Verhaeghe record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.10 |
| 10-06 07:57 | Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 10-06 07:49 | Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 09-16 11:57 | Will Resident Evil Requiem win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.44 |
| 09-13 15:00 | SlingshotDAO FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.12 |
| 09-12 17:41 | Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.12 |