PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AccX3

0xfdb42498f589368ae07385d979ad92756dd46ee3

Realised P&L
$168.84
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$463.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6740.958$297.45+$88.11
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.9040.257$103.73−$261.03
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.8560.140$62.57−$320.04
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$44.63
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.7890.000$0.00−$160.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 09:38Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.022$0.27
04-03 11:30Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$30.60
04-03 11:30Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.84$17.64
04-03 02:19Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.8053692984$34.78
04-03 02:19Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.80796875$64.64
04-03 02:19Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.7612725$60.90
04-01 11:49Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.5648989114$7.26
03-31 05:40Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$235.45
03-29 14:55Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.903$18.06
03-29 14:34Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.901$7.24
03-29 14:32Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.904$23.54
03-16 21:41Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$1.38
03-16 17:47Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?SELL0.86$21.76
03-13 02:23Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0828592475$7.31
03-10 09:09Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?SELL0.990191278$309.93