AccX3
0xfdb42498f589368ae07385d979ad92756dd46ee3
- Realised P&L
- $168.84
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $463.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.674 | 0.958 | $297.45 | +$88.11 |
| Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.904 | 0.257 | $103.73 | −$261.03 |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.856 | 0.140 | $62.57 | −$320.04 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.63 |
| Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.789 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.90at 0.214Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$175.66at 0.833Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$75.89at 0.781Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$16.27at 0.130Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
- +$9.50at 0.977Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 09:38 | Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.27 |
| 04-03 11:30 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $30.60 |
| 04-03 11:30 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $17.64 |
| 04-03 02:19 | Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.8053692984 | $34.78 |
| 04-03 02:19 | Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.80796875 | $64.64 |
| 04-03 02:19 | Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.7612725 | $60.90 |
| 04-01 11:49 | Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.5648989114 | $7.26 |
| 03-31 05:40 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $235.45 |
| 03-29 14:55 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.903 | $18.06 |
| 03-29 14:34 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.901 | $7.24 |
| 03-29 14:32 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.904 | $23.54 |
| 03-16 21:41 | Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.38 |
| 03-16 17:47 | Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $21.76 |
| 03-13 02:23 | Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0828592475 | $7.31 |
| 03-10 09:09 | Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.990191278 | $309.93 |